In September 2025, a 20-point settlement plan was proposed. It led to a ceasefire on October 10, 2025, and resulted in UN Resolution 2803, which incorporated the 20 points.
Is there a ceasefire that is actually being enforced?
No. The parties involved are divided on what to call this quasi-ceasefire. Is it a frozen conflict? A low-intensity war? Everyone agrees that it is not a real ceasefire and that the Trump plan is not being implemented.
- Several hundred deaths on the Palestinian side since October
- The Rafah crossing, which was supposed to be opened at the start of the ceasefire (point 8), has only been partially open since February 2, 2026. And even then, it is likely that Israel will do everything it can to allow Palestinians to leave but refuse to allow them to enter or return.
- Points 7 and 8 concerning humanitarian aid have not been implemented as they should have been. They have been revised and amended by Israel, without any connection to the Trump plan.
- Israel is doing what it wants and adapting the initial text of the Trump plan to what it really wants to do, without any reaction from Trump or the organization that claims to be implementing the Trump plan.
- There is no known and recognized mechanism for supervising the ceasefire. Israel uses any incident as a pretext to resume bombing. They have a smart AI-based system that turns toilet noises into truth. The result is that the victims of the incidents apparently have no connection to the origin of the incidents.
- No independent observer or journalist is able to provide an objective view of what is happening in Gaza. Lying and censorship are the norm for Israel, reinforced by the indifference of the Trump team.
Trump is a promoter, not a builder. He knows how to manage publicity and press coverage but is incapable of managing a project. The ceasefire in Gaza is self-managing, so there is no real ceasefire.
During the disarmament of Hamas, the Israeli authorities will probably do everything they can to restart the war: this is what the Jewish supremacists in the Israeli government want. They will find the pretexts that suit them.
Naej DRANER
As a reminder, Resolution 2803 was adopted by the Security Council on November 17, 2025.
February 3, 2026