Is there a need for a Persian Gulf Council?

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Short- and medium-term needs that could justify a “Persian Gulf Council”

The Iran-U.S. agreement explicitly calls for a return to normalcy within 30 days. However, after 60 days, the applicable rules will be determined by Iran, Oman, and the countries bordering the Persian Gulf.

The Persian Gulf countries could get involved if they feel the need to.

The short- and medium-term need is :

  • to assure all parties involved of the security of the Strait of Hormuz,
  • to regulate traffic if everyone were to try to access it all at once.

If a Persian Gulf council were established with clear traffic rules accepted by all coastal countries, this could help restore normal traffic.

Until the mine clearance is complete, there is a risk that should theoretically be eliminated in 30 days, but for which we have no visibility.

Estimate traffic demand once conditions have returned to normal, after 30, 60, and 90 days.

Each country bordering the Persian Gulf is able to estimate its theoretical demand for 30, 60, and 90 days.

The first step would be to collect these estimates and assess whether there is a need to regulate future traffic.

If there is a risk of exceeding the maximum traffic capacity, a reservation and time-slot system will need to be implemented. It may be free or fee-based, but preparations for such a reservation and traffic control system are necessary.

Within the next 30 days, it is unlikely that traffic will reach full capacity. Everyone is wary of the constant contradictory announcements. The strait is open, then closed, then open, then closed, and so on…

After 30 days? We could make an estimate. If there is no risk of exceeding normal traffic levels, it might be possible to take no action.

The Persian Gulf Council could now be established to influence the definition of future navigation rules. The issue could involve both regulating traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and internal regulation within the Persian Gulf, if everyone wants to make up for lost time and waiting ships need to be docked in the Persian Gulf.

These countries could survive without a “Persian Gulf Council,” but it would be better if they could demonstrate that they are jointly defining and shaping the future of the Persian Gulf.

This decision rests with the countries bordering the Persian Gulf. To date, Naej DRANER is nothing more than an idea-monger, with no official role related to the Persian Gulf.

June 22, 2026

Naej DRANER

P.S.: Recently, there have been several visits to this site from Iran. We do not know whether these were made by private individuals or by Iranian government officials.