The purpose of this site is to share some advanced studies, hoping that they will continue in another form and on another scale.
Those who are interested will find the essentials here, whether to understand what has been done or what should be done to give it more credibility and to launch the necessary complementary studies. There are both ideas and concepts that have been validated by more detailed studies.
The scope of all these studies can be summarized in 2 parts:
- The Clock of the Unconscious which revolves around a cyclical phenomenon giving rise to several theories and applications
- Complementary related studies most often linked to the understanding of wars, their outbreak and their possible resolution. Some studies are indirectly linked to the clock of the unconscious but others have no direct or indirect connection.
The Clock of the Unconscious
One could summarize the Clock of the Unconscious as the unlikely marriage of the unconscious of Freud and Jung with the Eternal Return of Nietzsche. This obsession of a reliving of the past resulting in an eternal Return would be only the perception of the cycle highlighted by the Clock of the Unconscious. But this reliving of the past can be as much conscious as unconscious. The reference to the unconscious and some basic mechanisms of the Freudian unconscious (resurgence, repression, …) can help to understand the effects of these returns, even if it is only the concept of unconscious that is taken up.
Without going into great intellectual debates, we could speak more simply about a “periodic phenomenon” that seems to have a great influence on the behavior of countries and their leaders. This periodic phenomenon manifests itself in different forms:
- Returns from the past: a conscious or unconscious past event reappears in a similar or opposite form, with a probability linked to this periodic phenomenon
- the outbreak or escalation of wars can be linked to a “War Cycle“. Not all wars are linked to this Cycle, but it is a form of randomness ordered by a periodic beat amplifying our warlike impulses
- Conversely, there are periods when there are lulls and peace initiatives, but we cannot speak of a Peace Cycle. It is just a trend that is much less affirmed than that of wars.
- A parallelism of history?
This point is best illustrated by an example that is not yet included in this site. By reliving certain past periods, unconscious motivations from the parallel past can have an impact on present decisions
These views only partially capture a whole that still escapes us. The possibilities are fascinating but still fragile as long as we do not have clear and indisputable demonstrations. But we must dare to read them to have a small idea of the evolutions to come in these fields.
The concepts discovered in the Clock of the Unconscious have destabilized war understanding. How can a periodic phenomenon promote wars? Can the data from the “War Cycle” be used to anticipate future wars?
- The modeling of the triggering of wars is an element of response to link a more classical conception of wars and the “War Cycle”. This modeling is new to those interested in war studies. It is therefore a study in its own right
- classic forecasts have been improved by using what is known about the “War Cycle”. It is impressive to be able to know several years in advance the probable periods of future wars. It is not very accurate but it is a considerable progress.
Other questions more or less related to the other studies were conducted:
- How can we achieve a ceasefire that holds? This is a reflection that has been carried out over the last few years in relation to Ukraine. It cannot be achieved without trying to enforce something on the ground, which would require means of intervention that we do not have. It is a reality that there does not seem to be any knowledge to achieve a ceasefire. Would it be useful? It is not clear that the current actors in conflict resolution are open to any certainties other than their own. If such knowledge existed, it is not certain that it could be applied and achieved: it would be disturbing.
- Can we use some of the concepts such as modeling the onset of wars to provide an analysis that can be used in a negotiation?
There was an essay called “Will Jerusalem have a lasting peace – 2020 ND – 2020-02-13” It has not been used to date in any way. It is almost another study. While the Clock of the Unconscious sheds new light on wars, understanding it does not stop a war and make peace. Further studies are needed to try to resolve conflicts.
What can this site do for you?
- New concepts based on a cyclical phenomenon described in different forms:
- Returns from the past
- The “War Cycle”
- Relative Analysis of Unforeseen Events
- Disturbing examples of parallelism in history (soon to be integrated on this site)
- elements of understanding conflicts (e.g. modeling the outbreak of wars)
- Forecasts of wars and crises based on both a classical analysis and the specificities of the cyclical phenomenon of the Clock of the Unconscious Clock which provide additional information.
- Assistance in conflict resolution, starting with the ceasefire
- Proposals for experimentation and the report of these experiments if they see the light of day.
This site is intended for people who want to understand as well as for specialists and professionals who would like to develop one or the other of these aspects, or use them. Those who want to know more can use the contact form . A priori, all supplements not described and not developed on the site are available on request. (A website is first of all a presentation brochure, not a reference book of these studies).
The studies are carried out according to the interest shown in this or that subject. At present, the main help expected is that readers read and review the existing texts to help us improve the readability and comprehensibility of these topics: it is a fact that these topics can create misunderstandings by an inadequate presentation. Your comments are therefore useful to help us improve this site and the expression of the ideas it contains.
updated on May 27, 2021